Philippines’ defence chief says China could exploit cuts in US-South Korea exercises

SEOUL – China could see recent cuts to US-South Korea military exercises as an opportunity to reassert itself in the Indo-Pacific, Philippine Defence Secretary Gilberto Teodoro Jr said on Sept 7, though he said Washington had assured Manila that its commitments to the Philippines remained unchanged.

Speaking to Reuters on the sidelines of the Seoul Defence Dialogue, Teodoro said there had been no reduction in US-Philippine military activities, and that bilateral and multilateral cooperation involving Manila continued to expand.

US President Donald Trump’s decision in August to scale back military exercises with South Korea has prompted debate among security analysts over the credibility of US deterrence in Asia and whether rivals like China could perceive a weakening of US resolve. “It is a possibility, of course. China is very quick to exploit gaps,” Teodoro said, when asked whether Beijing could seize on the move. “If we’re talking about the Indo-Pacific as a whole, then it may signal some opportunity for China to reassert itself,” he said.

He said, however, that Manila had received “definite assurances” from Washington and that there was “no indication” that the changes in South Korea would affect commitments under the US-Philippines Mutual Defence Treaty.

Manila has deepened defence cooperation with the US under President Ferdinand Marcos Jr, including expanded joint exercises and greater access for US forces to Philippine military facilities as tensions with China have intensified in the South China Sea.

Teodoro said Manila was also broadening security ties with other partners. The Philippines recently concluded agreements with Canada and New Zealand, signed a visiting forces agreement with France, and was negotiating a similar pact with Britain, he said.

The defence chief also accused China of relying increasingly on influence operations alongside military and maritime pressure. “Definitely it takes advantage of democratic space to co-opt people and to use a free media to expand its distortive narratives,” he said.

Teodoro said the Philippines was pursuing stronger espionage and foreign influence legislation to counter such activities.

Asked about Marcos’ recent remarks that progress was being made towards possible joint oil and gas exploration talks with China, he struck a cautious note, saying it would be “doubtful” that any economic cooperation could be insulated from longstanding sovereignty disputes in the South China Sea.

China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and its embassy in Manila did not immediately respond to a request for comment on Teodoro’s remarks.

Submarines still under review

Teodoro was in Seoul for talks aimed at expanding defence cooperation with South Korea, one of the Philippines’ largest arms suppliers.

South Korea has supplied the Philippines with FA-50 light combat aircraft, frigates and other military equipment as Manila modernises its armed forces.

He said that the Philippines was interested in deeper industrial cooperation and emerging defence technologies from South Korea, but he also indicated that a long-discussed submarine acquisition programme remained some way off.

“The submarine programme is still under review,” he said, citing questions over mission requirements and the substantial infrastructure needed to support such a capability. “I would say it will be still a way off.”

Teodoro said concerns about China’s actions were encouraging closer security cooperation among countries across the region and could ultimately lead to a more interconnected Indo-Pacific security network.

“I believe so because the motivating factor there is China,” he said. REUTERS