WHO-led programme aims to buy antiviral Covid-19 pills for US$10

Merck & Co's experimental pill molnupiravir is likely to be one of the drugs. PHOTO: REUTERS

BRUSSELS (REUTERS) - A programme led by the World Health Organisation (WHO) to ensure poorer countries get fair access to Covid-19 vaccines, tests and treatments aims to secure antiviral drugs for patients with mild symptoms for as little as US$10 (S$13.50) per course, according to a draft document seen by Reuters.

Merck & Co's experimental pill molnupiravir is likely to be one of the drugs. Other drugs to treat mild patients are being developed.

The document, which outlines the goals of the Access to Covid-19 Tools Accelerator (Act-A) until next September, says the programme wants to deliver about one billion Covid-19 tests to poorer nations, and procure drugs to treat up to 120 million patients globally, out of about 200 million new cases it estimates in the next 12 months.

The plans highlight how the WHO wants to shore up supplies of drugs and tests at a relatively low price after losing the vaccine race to wealthy nations, which scooped up a huge share of the world's supplies, leaving the poorest countries with few shots.

A spokesman for the Act-A said the document, dated Oct 13, was still a draft under consultation and declined to comment on its content before it is finalised. The document will also be sent to global leaders ahead of a Group of 20 (G-20) summit in Rome at the end of this month.

The Act-A seeks additional funding of US$22.8 billion from the G-20 and other donors until next September. This will be needed to buy vaccines, drugs and tests and to distribute them to poorer nations to narrow the huge gaps in supply between wealthy and less-advanced countries. Donors have so far pledged US$18.5 billion to the programme.

The financial requests are based on detailed estimates about the price of drugs, treatments and tests, which will account for the programme's biggest expenses alongside the cost of distributing vaccines.

Although it does not explicitly cite molnupiravir, the Act-A document expects to pay US$10 dollar per course for "novel oral antivirals for mild/moderate patients".

Other pills to treat mild patients are being developed, but molnupiravir is the only one which has so far showed positive results in late-stage trials. The Act-A is in talks with Merck & Co and generics producers to buy the drug.

The price is very low compared with US$700 per course that the United States has agreed to pay for 1.7 million courses of the treatment.

But a study carried out by Harvard University estimated that molnupiravir could cost about US$20 if produced by generic drug makers, with the price potentially going down to US$7.70 under optimised production.

Merck & Co has licensing deals with eight Indian generic drug makers.

The Act-A document says its target is to reach a deal by the end of next month to secure the supply of an "oral outpatient drug", which it hopes will be available from the first quarter of next year.

The money raised would initially be used to "support procurement of up to 28 million treatment courses for highest-risk mild/moderate patients over the next 12 months, depending on product availability, clinical guidance, and volumes changing with evolution of needs", the document says, noting that this volume would be secured under an advance purchase agreement.

Larger additional amounts of new oral antivirals to treat mild patients are also expected to be procured at a later stage, the document says.

Another 4.3 million courses of repurposed Covid-19 pills to treat critical patients are also expected to be purchased at a price of US$28 per course, the document says, without naming any specific drug.

The Act-A also intends to address essential medical oxygen needs of six million to eight million severe and critical patients by next September.

Tests

In addition, the programme plans to invest massively in Covid-19 diagnostics in order to at least double the number of tests carried out in poorer nations, defined as low-income and low-middle-income countries.

Of the US$22.8 billion that the Act-A plans to raise in the next 12 months, about one-third and the largest share is to be spent on diagnostics, the document says.

Currently, poor countries conduct on average about 50 tests per 100,000 people every day, against 750 tests in richer nations. The Act-A wants to bring testing rates to a minimum of 100 tests per 100,000 people in poorer states.

That means delivering around one billion tests in the next 12 months, around 10 times more than the Act-A has procured so far, the document shows.

The largest share of diagnostics would be rapid antigen tests at a price of around US$3, and only 15 per cent would be spent to procure molecular tests, which are more accurate but take more time to deliver results and are estimated to cost around US$17, including delivery costs, the document shows.

The push on tests is meant to narrow the gap between the rich and the poor, as only 0.4 per cent of the about three billion tests reported across the world have been conducted in poor nations, the document says.

It would also help spot earlier possible new variants, which tend to proliferate when infections are widespread, and therefore are more likely in the countries with lower vaccination rates.

The document underlines that "vaccine access is highly inequitable with coverage ranging from 1 per cent to over 70 per cent, depending largely on a country's wealth". The programme aims to vaccinate at least 70 per cent of the eligible population in all countries by the middle of next year, in line with the WHO's goals.

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