PORTLAND, Oregon - Earlier in November, an image of a pet rock sold for the equivalent of more than US$200,000 (S$268,000) in the non-fungible token (NFT) market.
Meanwhile, the market capitalisation of a cryptocurrency called Pepe – a meme coin based on a cartoon frog – doubled in just a few weeks. Even the price of the FTT token, which was created by the FTX exchange and has no real utility, has tripled in the past month on hopes that Sam Bankman-Fried’s exchange will return from the dead.
Everywhere you look, there are signs that the wacky excesses of the crypto market – and the fear of missing out, or Fomo – are making an unlikely comeback.
As expectations of an imminent approval of a spot-Bitcoin exchange-traded fund pushes the oldest and biggest cryptocurrency ever higher, the hype has also lifted other boats – even those considered among the least seaworthy.
This latest rise of digital junk follows a nearly two-year-long crypto winter that saw the value of thousands of dubious projects slide – some to nearly zero – to the delight of critics and even some industry insiders.
Aggressive actions by the US Securities and Exchange Commission marked some crypto coins as illegal, and chased some promoters away from crypto. Now, it appears that the cleansing was only temporary.
“As prices rise, investors on the sidelines think they need to get in,” said Duke University finance professor Campbell Harvey. “Many will violate the number one rule of investment: Understand what you are investing in. Many will also violate the number two rule by putting their money in an undiversified bet on a single token.”
Social media is once again full of posts hyping meme coins. One of them is simply called Memecoin, which was created earlier in 2023 and has shot up in value in November. Its short white paper, where disclaimers take up about as much space as explanations, notes that the token “has no functions, no utility and no intrinsic value, no promise or expectation of any financial return, profit, interest or dividend”.
“Looking for a new theme to rake in customer money for no value – that’s the theme in non-Bitcoin crypto,” said Mr Cory Klippsten, chief executive of Bitcoin services provider Swan. “I guarantee there will be another hype cycle for alt coins, and more people will get hurt.”
Static images of rocks tied to the Ethereum and Bitcoin blockchains are selling for eye-popping prices again. Bitcoin Rock #75 recently sold for almost three bitcoins, or about US$112,900. The collection, like many others, is held by a small group of people. And like most NFT collections, the rocks are not very liquid.
Meanwhile, many projects are holding NFT land sales – effectively selling NFTs of properties inside digital territories of games – even though many participants in prior-generation projects got burned.
“It’s important to note the current climate of what might be described as a mini bull market,” said Ms Sara Gherghelas, an analyst at researcher DappRadar. “This environment has infused the NFT space with a fresh wave of enthusiasm and speculative investment, which can sometimes inflate the prices of projects that might otherwise have limited long-term value.”
TG Casino, focused on offering anonymous crypto gambling on Telegram, has raised more than US$2 million in a token pre-sale, which includes selling NFTs to high rollers. In years past, people’s investments into many token sales crashed and burned.
Amid the frenetic rush into the latest hot token, some buyers end up being what is known as rug-pulled – or duped by scams in which the coin’s creators disappear along with liquidity. In the third quarter, rug pulls accounted for 65.1 per cent of all types of attacks in crypto, according to blockchain security auditor Hacken.io.
“Optimists are seeing thaws in the crypto winter, and even green shoots,” said Mr Aaron Brown, a crypto investor. “If this really is early crypto spring, the good new ideas should suck the attention from the nonsense. If not, the junk should fade back to obscurity.” BLOOMBERG
